摘 要：随着可持续发展的不断推进，城市低碳生活越来越受到人们的重视，向低碳生活转型已经成为城市可持续发展所面临的一大重要挑战。对南京市家庭能源消费碳排放变化及影响因素的研究是南京市向低碳生活转型及可持续发展的基本要点。本文采用LMDI分解方法对1980—2013年南京市家庭能源消费碳排放量的变化进行分解分析。结果表明：南京市家庭能源消费碳排放量逐年增加，尤其进入21世纪后，碳排放量增加的趋势越来越迅速。同时，能源结构、能源强度、人口规模、经济发展水平和社会消费品零售额等因素都对家庭能源消费碳排放量变化有着一定的影响。因此，加快科学技术的发展，提高能源利用率以及加强居民节能减排的环保意识对南京市向低碳生活转型至关重要。66512

毕业论文关键词：家庭能源消费，碳排放，LMDI分解方法，南京市

Abstract: With the development of the sustainable development, low carbon city life has attracted more and more attention, the transition to a low carbon life has become an important challenge for the sustainable development of the city. On the change and influence of carbon emissions from energy consumption in Nanjing City, Nanjing city is the study of family factors to the basic points of low carbon life transition and sustainable development. This paper uses LMDI decomposition method to the change of Nanjing city from 1980 to 2013 the amount of household carbon emissions from energy consumption analysis. The results showed that: Nanjing city household carbon emissions from energy consumption increased year by year, especially after entering twenty-first Century, the trend of carbon emissions increased more and more rapidly. At the same time, the factors of energy structure, energy intensity, population scale, economic development level and the retail sales of social consumer goods on carbon emissions from energy consumption amount of family change has a certain effect. Therefore, to speed up the development of science and technology, improve energy efficiency and enhance the environmental awareness of the residents of energy saving and emission reduction in Nanjing city life is crucial to low carbon transformation.

Key word: Household energy consumption, Carbon emissions, LMDI decomposition method, Nanjing City

目  录

1  引  言 4

2  南京市家庭能源消费碳排放的测算研究 4

2.1  数据来源与研究方法 4

2.2  南京市家庭能源消费碳排放量测算 5

3  南京市家庭能源消费碳排放量的分解分析 6

3.1  家庭能源消费碳排放的结果分析 6

3.2  家庭能源消费碳排放的因素分解分析 9

4  南京市家庭能源消费碳排放的影响因素 16

4.1  经济发展水平与家庭能源消费碳排放 16

4.2  人口规模与家庭能源消费碳排放 16

4.3  社会消费品零售总额与家庭能源消费碳排放 17

4.4  能源结构与家庭能源消费碳排放 18

4.5  能源强度与家庭能源消费碳排放 18

4.6  科学技术的进步与家庭能源消费碳排放 19

5  建  议 19

结 论