高速铁路安全运营的模糊评估模型
关键词 安全运营 评价指标 模糊评价模型 隶属度 权重
毕业设计说明书（毕业论文）外文摘要
Title The Fuzzy Evaluation Model of The High-speed Railway Safe Operation
Abstract
With the continuous development of social economy and science and technology, of high-speed railway technology and equipment, high speed railway in people's production and life has played a more and more important role,which has become a trend of the world railway development. As a new form of rail transport, the rapid development of high-speed railway puts forward a series of new requirements and challenges for the safe operation, establishing perfect security operation system to protect the personal property safety has played a vital role. This article focus on the analysis of the influence factors of Chinese and abroad safety technology and the national high-speed rail accident reason,to establish the safety of the operation evaluation system, then compare each quota with each other, finally establish a fuzzy evaluation model of the high-speed railway safe operation. Through the established model of high-speed lines for safety evaluation in our country, combining with actual situation demonstrates the correctness of the model.
Keywords safety evaluation quota Fuzzy Evaluation Model membership weight
目 次
1 引言 1
1.1 高速铁路的定义 1
1.2 高速铁路安全运营研究的意义 1
1.3 国内外研究现状 2
1.4 研究主要内容 4
2 高速铁路安全运营评价指标体系与安全态势 6
2.1 高速铁路安全运营保障体系 6
2.2 高速铁路安全运营评价指标体系 10
2.3 国内外高速铁路安全态势分析 15
3 高速铁路模糊评价模型 18
3.1 模糊综合评价方法 18
3.2 建立高速铁路安全运营评估模型 22
4 我国高速铁路线路运营安全模糊评价分析 30
4.1 我国高速铁路线路运营安全现状分析 30
4.2 模糊评价 33
4.3 评价结果分析 39
总 结 41
致 谢 42
参考文献43
1 引言
1.1 高速铁路的定义
高速铁路，是指通过改造原有线路（直线化、轨距标准化），使营运速率达到200km/h 以上，或者专门修建新的“高速新线”，使营运速率达到以250km/h以上的铁路系统[ ]。世界上高速铁路发展处在领先位置的除了我国外，还有日本、法国和德国，日本在1964年10月高速铁路投入运营，法国高速铁路在1983年9月投入运营，德国在1991年6月投入运营。我国第一条高速铁路在2003年正式投入运营，至今正式运营的高速铁路线路里程已经超过上万公里，超过了世界上其他国家高速铁路里程的总和，这标志着中国正在步入高铁时代。